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Primetime Ownership · our projection · NFL Week 4 TNF

PIT @ CLE: captain and FLEX ownership in the biggest contests (our projection)

Our projected captain and FLEX ownership in the biggest DraftKings Showdown and FanDuel single-game contests of PIT @ CLE, kickoff 8:15 PM ET.

By STAT-API
Thu Oct 1, 3:00 PM ET•2 min read
DraftKings biggest prize pool
$1,500,000
$1.5M Thursday Night Showdown · 807 contests
Jaylen Warren CPT
33.2% vs 79.2%
the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown vs the $250 Double Up
Aaron Rodgers, $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown
53.8% FLEX · 7.3% CPT
1st FLEX, 4th CPT
FanDuel: Jaylen Warren MVP
34.0% vs 75.5%
the $500K NFL Thursday Night Special vs the $270 50/50 League

DraftKings Showdown: the biggest contests

Our projection as of 8:11 PM ET (model single_hgb@19d12bd6d309). The slate has 807 contests, and each contest has its own projected ownership. The biggest prize pool is the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown ($1,500,000). The biggest cash game is the $250 Double Up ($16,000).

Jaylen Warren CPT: 33.2% in the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown vs 79.2% in the $250 Double Up.

Aaron Rodgers is the 1st FLEX but only the 4th CPT in the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown (53.8% FLEX, 7.3% CPT).

The 5 biggest GPPs and the 5 biggest cash games, biggest prize pool first. The Ownership tool opens these contests to everyone.

ContestTypePrize poolEntry feeMax entries
$1.5M Thursday Night ShowdownGPP$1,500,000$2088,235
$500K WildcatGPP$500,000$3331,668
$402K Luxury BoxGPP$402,000$3,180134
$250K Play-ActionGPP$250,000$399,088
$250K Flea FlickerGPP$250,000$559,453
$250 Double UpCash$16,000$25071
Single Entry $25 Double UpCash$10,000$25459
$1,060 50-50Cash$10,000$1,06010
Single Entry $100 Double UpCash$8,000$10088
$530 50-50Cash$8,000$53016

DraftKings Showdown: CPT and FLEX in the biggest pool and the biggest cash game

The 5 most-owned players of the slate, with their CPT and FLEX ownership in the $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown and in the $250 Double Up.

CPT = the share of lineups with the player in the captain seat. FLEX = the share of lineups with the player in one of the five FLEX seats.

PlayerPosCPT, $1.5M Thursday Night ShowdownFLEX, $1.5M Thursday Night ShowdownCPT, $250 Double UpFLEX, $250 Double Up
Jaylen WarrenRB33.2%49.9%79.2%20.8%
Aaron RodgersQB7.3%53.8%3.2%86.0%
Deshaun WatsonQB11.5%47.7%7.3%75.0%
Harold Fannin Jr.TE6.6%41.4%2.2%51.8%
Quinshon JudkinsRB9.2%35.1%3.6%46.7%

FanDuel single game: the biggest contests

Our projection as of 8:09 PM ET (model single_hgb@19d12bd6d309). The slate has 90 contests. The biggest prize pool is the $500K NFL Thursday Night Special ($500,000). The biggest cash game is the $270 50/50 League ($5,000).

Jaylen Warren MVP: 34.0% in the $500K NFL Thursday Night Special vs 75.5% in the $270 50/50 League.

Aaron Rodgers is the 1st FLEX but only the 3rd MVP in the $500K NFL Thursday Night Special (55.6% FLEX, 10.5% MVP).

The 5 biggest GPPs and the 5 biggest cash games, biggest prize pool first.

ContestTypePrize poolEntry feeMax entries
$500K NFL Thursday Night SpecialGPP$500,000$1539,682
$300K Thu NFL MonsterGPP$300,000$555600
$111K Thu NFL RushGPP$111,000$344,047
$100K Thu NFL GunslingerGPP$100,000$1,65067
$40K Thu NFL BombGPP$40,000$55855
$270 50/50 LeagueCash$5,000$27020
$25 50/50 LeagueCash$2,250$25100
$25 50/50 LeagueCash$2,250$25100
$109 50/50 LeagueCash$2,000$10920
$25 50/50 LeagueCash$1,125$2550

FanDuel single game: MVP and FLEX in the biggest pool and the biggest cash game

The 5 most-owned players of the slate, with their MVP and FLEX ownership in the $500K NFL Thursday Night Special and in the $270 50/50 League.

MVP = the share of lineups with the player in the MVP seat. FLEX = the share of lineups with the player in one of the five FLEX seats.

PlayerPosMVP, $500K NFL Thursday Night SpecialFLEX, $500K NFL Thursday Night SpecialMVP, $270 50/50 LeagueFLEX, $270 50/50 League
Aaron RodgersQB10.5%55.6%6.6%93.4%
Jaylen WarrenRB34.0%52.2%75.5%24.5%
Deshaun WatsonQB12.8%47.5%9.9%74.8%
Chris BoswellK2.5%39.9%0.3%49.5%
Quinshon JudkinsRB7.1%35.5%2.2%43.2%

How to read it

Jaylen Warren: one player, four contests

Each contest gets its own projection, for the captain seat and the FLEX seats apart. GPP = the biggest prize pool, cash = the biggest cash game. DraftKings (DK): $1.5M Thursday Night Showdown, $250 Double Up. FanDuel (FD): $500K NFL Thursday Night Special, $270 50/50 League.

SeatPer lineupEach contest sums toDK GPPDK cashFD GPPFD cash
CPT / MVP1100%33.2%79.2%34.0%75.5%
FLEX5500%49.9%20.8%52.2%24.5%
Total6600%83.1%100.0%86.2%100.0%

Our projection, made before kickoff, as of 8:11 PM ET (DraftKings) and 8:09 PM ET (FanDuel). Not a measured result.

About this post

We posted this article late, after kickoff, and dated it to its place in the schedule. The projection in it is the one we made before kickoff, as of the time stated above. It is not a result.

Endpoints behind this post

GET /api/v1/dfs/slates/481378/contest-ownershipCaptain and FLEX ownership contest by contest, DraftKings Showdown (the 5 biggest GPPs and the 5 biggest cash games free, every contest, every player and the CSV on the Pro plan)
GET /api/v1/dfs/slates/477794/contest-ownershipMVP and FLEX ownership contest by contest, FanDuel single game (the 5 biggest GPPs and the 5 biggest cash games free, every contest, every player and the CSV on the Pro plan)
Receipts

Built automatically from the contest data. Every number links to its API call.

  • GET https://api.stat-api.com/api/v1/nfl/context?season=2026&week=42026-10-02T12:39:13Z
  • GET https://api.stat-api.com/api/v1/dfs/slates/481378/contest-ownership2026-10-02T12:39:14Z
  • GET https://api.stat-api.com/api/v1/dfs/slates/477794/contest-ownership2026-10-02T12:39:14Z